Highlights from Jeff Brown’s view of the tech future

  • There will be 500m 5g stations in the next 12m enabling, ai driven personal assistants will save us 2-3 hours / day
    • enabled by natural language processing whose sophistication has accelerated in last 12m
    • driven by chat-bots alexa etc
    • Increasingly important opt in / out Google and Facebook abuse data and sell onto anyone, amazon are better. Amazon are leaders in AI and cloud services
  • 256 bit encryption will take hours to break using googles 53QB quantum computer, seconds if it was a 256QB version
  • phases / timing of AI
    • now narrow AI – takes on a single task, better than a human
    • AGI 2028 same as human intelligence with world of info at fingertips
    • ASI – AI smarter than any human, will make connections we cant see synthesize everything 10 years away
  • Amazon cant grow unless they train 10k of their workforce
  • UBI will not work
  • division between those willing to get involved / not
  • there are 1m ai related jobs right now, unfilled, who can wants to do them?
  • quantum computer key to realizing nuclear fusion, fuel with no waste, 5 years time
  • AI has been funded by the private sector $105bn 2016-18
  • china are ahead on 
    • mobile infrastructure platforms for everything: access for 85-90% of China’s population
    • China’s digital currency motivated by control of society using block chain
  • Block chain makes systems more resistant to AI attack
  • US others motivation to use digital currency is to increase and simplify taxation, complete visibility on all transactions
  • Medical progress using CRISPR will fix 7000 DNA related diseases including aging! available in 10 years time, live for hundreds of years
  • Human concerns!
    • cant comprehend the scale of things or exponential speed
    • don’t move in the wrong direction
    • latest AI tech is open sourced so anyone has access
    • giving away value
    • so convenient will be hard to avoid
    • how can we recover from it
      • no idea why AI has reached decisions too fast, untraceable and un-understandable
    • ethics – China has broken the golden rule and modified embryos!